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Research and Reports

Our work contributes to many academic papers and publications and is referred to in the news and by media outlets. Here is a selection of those reports.

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Changing the Rules of the Game

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Our new research with David Mansfield explores the extent to which the Taliban has concentrated power in the hands of Pashtun fighters and how they have centralised, regulated, and maximised revenues from cross-border value chains in Afghanistan since the August 2021 takeover.

 

Building on previous research under XCEPT, this research contributes to a growing body of work to help develop a better understanding of the shift in political and economic power in Afghanistan since the Taliban takeover in August 2021.

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Governance, Agriculture and Livelihoods

Changing the Rules of the Game

Centralising power and cutting corruption is swelling the Taliban’s finances.
2023
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Governance, Monitoring and Evaluation, Counter Narcotics

A Taxing Narrative

Miscalculating Revenues and Misunderstanding the conflict in Afghanistan.
2021
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Agriculture and Livelihoods, Governance

Managing local resources and conflict

Value chain mapping and visualisation of the talc, fuel and transit trade in Afghanistan.
2021
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Governance

War Gains: A case study on Nimroz Province

How the economic benefits of the conflict are distributed in Afghanistan and the implications for peace
2021
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Governance

War Gains - Annex Document

Annex to the War gains case study on Nimroz Province
2021
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Counter Narcotics, Climate Change

EU4MONITORING DRUGS Special Report

Emerging evidence of Afghanistan's role as a producer and supplier of ephedrine and methamphetamine
2020
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Agriculture and Livelihoods

Mules, Pick-Ups and Container Traffic

This report is currently unavailable
2020
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Climate Change, Natural Resources

When The Water Runs Dry

What is to be done with the 1.5 million settlers in the deserts of southwest Afghanistan when their livelihoods fail.
2020
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Counter Narcotics

The Helmand Food Zone: The Illusion of Success

How the Helmand Food Zone was developed and the different actors involved in its implementation.
2019
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Counter Narcotics

US Airstrikes

How US Airstrikes obscured a dramatic development in the Afghan drugs industry.
2019
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Counter Narcotics

Denying Revenue or Wasting Money

Assessing the Impact of the air campaign against 'Drug labs' in Afghanistan
2019
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Governance

Stirring up the hornet's nest

How the Population of Rural Helmand view the current Counterinsurgency Campaign
2018
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Governance

Counter Narcotics

Lessons from the US Experience in Afghanistan

2018
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Counter Narcotics

Still Water Runs Deep

Illicit Poppy and the Transformation of the Deserts of Southwest Afghanistan
2018
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Agriculture and Livelihoods, Counter Narcotics

Truly Unprecedented

How the Helmand Food Zone supported an increase in the province's capacity to produce opium.
2017
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Counter Narcotics, Governance

Understanding Control and Influence

What opium poppy and tax reveal about the writ of the Afghan State
2017
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Governance

After The Dust Settles

Imagery analysis of the Afghan MOAB strike location
2017
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Counter Narcotics

Time to Move On

Developing an informed development response to Opium poppy cultivation in Afghanistan
2016
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Agriculture and Livelihoods, Natural Resources

Draining the deserts of Afghanistan

Following the fall of the Taliban many people moved to desert areas, which, in 2002, were nothing but sand.
2016
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Climate Change, Environment

Earth Observation Topic Guide

Earth Observation in Climate and Environment Development Programmes
2016
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Counter Narcotics, Governance

The Devil is in the Detail

Nangarhar's continued decline into insurgency, violence and widespread drug production
2016
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Monitoring and Evaluation

Drinking the Poisoned Water

Monitoring and Evaluation in today's Afghanistan
2015
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Monitoring and Evaluation

Effective M&E in Conflict Environments

This report explains the core problem in typical data collection techniques: bias.
2015
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Agriculture and Livelihoods, Counter Narcotics

Where Have All The Flowers Gone?

Reasons for the drop in the poppy crop in Afghanistan in 2015
2015
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Agriculture and Livelihoods

Helmand On The Move

Migration as a response to crop failure

2015
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Examining the impact of IDEA NEW on opium

2015
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Agriculture and Livelihoods, Counter Narcotics

Nangahar: A Case Study

Examining the impact of IDEA NEW on opium
2015
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Counter Narcotics

From Bad They Made it Worse

The concentration of opium poppy in areas of conflict in the provinces of Helmand and Nangarhar
2014
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Counter Narcotics

Eyes Wide Shut

Counter-Narcotics in Transition
2013
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Defence and Security

All Bets Are Off

Prospects for (B)reaching Agreements and Drug Control in Helmand and Nangarhar in the run up to Transition
2013
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Counter Narcotics

Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Counter-narcotic efforts and their effects in Nangarhar and Helmand in the 2010-1011 growing season
2011
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Counter Narcotics

Managing Concurrent and Repeated Risks

Explaining the Reductions in Opium Production in Central Helmand between 2008 and 2011
2011

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